Tuesday, October 26, 2004
A series of workshops on presidential politics came to a close yesterday at the Robert J. Dole Institute of Politics as William Lacy, the director of the institute, discussed political advertising and the week ahead for the campaigns. The “Inside Baseball” series of workshops presented a look at this campaign from the view of an insider. Lacy drew from his experience as a participant in the Republican presidential campaigns from 1980 to 1996 to give some insight into what might happen in the last week 2004’s race. “Unless some big event occurs, this is going to be an extremely close election,” he said. There are, however, some signs that people might be able to watch to gauge which way things might go on Nov. 2, he said. Two key numbers to watch are the Bush job approval rating and the polling numbers Bush gets near the end of the campaign, Lacy said. Those numbers historically reflect the actual vote percentage of an incumbent president. If those numbers are between 49 and 51 percent, he said, expect the election to be very close. He also mentioned the effect of Ralph Nader, the independent candidate. Nader’s poll numbers are at about one percent. If those numbers increase to two percent, the scales could tip in Bush’s favor, he said. He said he thought there were two key questions on voters’ minds. “First, how competent has this administration been on the war on terror?” he said. “Second, do voters trust John Kerry to be president?” Lacy said he hoped to continue this style of presentation next semester.
He said about 50 people attended each event and that there were a mixture of students and members of the community in attendance. He said that turnout exceeded any one of the similar sessions he helped run at Harvard University. Susan Alig, Leawood freshman, attended all five sessions of the workshop. “It’s nice to see that we can talk about politics without being partisan or inflamed,” she said. Justin McFarland, chairman of the KU College Republicans, also attended the events. “I thought they were excellent,” he said. “It was great to have people with experience talk about the presidential campaigns.” He said one of the highlights was seeing the lectern Bob Dole stood behind to practice his debates in 1996. The Dole Institute will be sponsoring a few more events this week for people interested in the presidential election. At 7:30 tonight, there will be a panel discussion, featuring former U.S. and foreign ambassadors, that will focus on how the world will will see the American election. Tomorrow, the Dole Institute will sponsor a lecture by David Brooks, New York Times columnist and contributor on NewsHour with Jim Lehrer. Brooks is scheduled to speak in 120 Budig Hall. Doors will open at 7:30 p.m.
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